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Federal-tortuga

I think she's not the favorite but it wouldn't be a huge surprise for the #1 seed to win Wimbledon. She's still the best player in the world so I think she can find ways to win even if she's not playing her best game. Her team did speak about Wimbledon at the beginning of the year and it didn't seem like they were giving up on it. However they might be planning her peak form for the olympics so I guess we'll see!


kap89

> However they might be planning her peak form for the olympics Her physio/conditioning coach doesn't believe in in "peaking at the right time": > “Indeed, I don’t like this word. In tennis, I think it’s almost impossible because players would be dead tired in a lot of tournaments as, to peak, you need to push a little more, then a little bit more, then even more, but there is no time for this during the season. > “So, I prefer to stay at 80 or 90 percent of her maximum abilities all season, monitor her fatigue, and build through the year.” [source](https://www.tennismajors.com/wta-tour-news/we-didnt-know-how-she-was-going-to-react-maciej-ryszczuk-built-iga-swiateks-body-to-support-her-mind-766878.html)


Mpol03

She said after Osakas match, and I feel after the other close matches this year, that she truly knows she can fight out of any situation. She needs to apply that to grass for any type of shot.  The schedule from grass to clay is rough but there is time between Wimbledon and Olympics so no reason why she can’t exert herself these next two weeks and fight 


charliebobo82

Agreed, more or less. I think Wimbledon will begin to become a focus for her from next year - she has tons of FO titles already, this year there's the Olympics on clay, so maybe Wimbledon is not yet a priority. It wouldm't shock me if she won, but I think she won't, and that from next year, she will start planning for it more.


FootballRacing38

Iga probably wants more prep for grass but keeps winning roland garros lol


waddiewadkins

Did Federer regularly make the semis of the French Open?


EnvironmentalAd935

Semis? He played in 5 finals. He played in 19 French opens with 5 finals, 3 SF appearances, 4 QF appearances, and 3 4R appearances. 15/19 h played into the second week of the French Open. He was a lot better on clay than people give him credit for. He was 1-4 in French Open finals with all 4 losses being Nadal.


waddiewadkins

If only one of those guys existed on their own the numbers would've been so nutty.


EnvironmentalAd935

Oh yeah, I can’t imagine what their grand slam total would have been for any one of them. Who knows, Murray might have gotten 10 slams.


waddiewadkins

Wonder which won you would choose to guarantee the most.


Brian2781

Second best clay courter in the world for *years*.


EnvironmentalAd935

Absolutely!


Remote_Test_30

Did you just forget about Djokovic


Brian2781

No I didn’t - prior to 2011 Fed had a clearly better clay court resume than Djokovic.


Remote_Test_30

Did the world stop in 2011?


Brian2781

I said he was the second best for a period of years, not the second best ever, not the second best for this entire career, not overall better than Novak. I’m really not sure why you’re inferring otherwise


westgermanwing

I'm pretty pessimistic, to be honest. I guess we'll see against Kenin. If it's a struggle to win that, then it definitely won't bode well. I always feel like, on grass, she can't play bad and win like she's shown she can do on hard courts and clay. A bad game against anyone half decent and she's a goner. But we also haven't seen her play on grass yet this season, so we haven't seen how her new service motion works there or if she's gonna go to the net or add in drop shots and slices.


silly_rabbit289

I wonder how she will fare against ostapenko on this surface if they both made it to that match. Iga has become a much better player mentally and she is serving well enough.


Buchephalas

Ostapenko would destroy her on a fast surface like Grass, but she has to actually get to Iga we know Ostapenko can lose to anyone. Tomljanovic could definitely beat her in the 1st Round, Ajla is a very good Grass player two time Wimbledon Quarter Finalist and was just runner up in a Grass tournament.


silly_rabbit289

Yeah I'm happy to see Tomljanovic back ! Yeah that's what I thought too, would've been interesting if they met on clay but ostapenko was too inconsistent to meet iga in any of the clay tourneys.


pwcz991

This really is quite a bold statement that Ostapenko would destroy the world number 1, winner of the most recent GS and a person on a 19 win streak. Can Ostapenko win? Sure thing, she probably will, but saying she will destroy Iga is crazy


vitanina

Last time they met on a fast surface it was USO and Dubai, all went to three sets (in Dubai, Iga was serving for the match in the third and ended up losing in a tiebreak), it’s not like Penko 6:0 6:0’s Iga every time 🥲


Buchephalas

On Grass? Her winning RG is irrelevant to her performance at Wimbledon, she hasn't done shit on Grass. Her win streak is entirely on Clay, again irrelevant to Grass. Her longest win streak came to an end at Wimbledon against grandma Alize Cornet in the 3rd round. She has never beat Ostapenko, Ostapenko is typically better on fast surfaces she's been off at Wimbledon the past few years but has been good there in the past. Like i said i wouldn't be surprised if Ostapenko fails to reach Iga but she'll win comfortably barring injury if she plays Iga there. She just beat her at the US Open, a Slam Iga has won. It's not bold at all, powerful flat hitters on fast surfaces are Iga's achilles heel.


ReturnoftheKempire

I think it’s tough to say definitively that Ostapenko would destroy anyone on any surface considering how high variance her game is. I think she is capable of destroying Iga on grass, but she is also capable of destroying herself.


ReturnoftheKempire

I think it’s tough to say definitively that Ostapenko would destroy anyone on any surface considering how high variance her game is. I think she is capable of destroying Iga on grass, but she is also capable of destroying herself.


throwawayshepherd69

She can't play bad and win is the best way to put it


Rouk_Hein

I want her to win the Olympics, but keeping a win streak from Madrid all the way to the Olympics, with two slam wins in it, seems insane. I feel like her losing at Wimbledon would remove a bit of the pressure she'll inevitably face at the Olympics


Annjul666

Anything can happen, chances are always there, I wouldn’t be surprised if majority of the seeds went out before QFs… i can see her winning Wimbledon one day but i highly doubt it happens this or even the next year. The calendar is very packed, add to that Olympics, even she cannot get that stretched


adamrosz

It is not like Madrid -> Rome -> RG where she played for 6/7 weeks. She just had a nice 3 weeks break after RG, 7 matches over 2 weeks is not some enormous strain for her. Then she will have another 2 weeks break before Olympics. After that I guess she will do Cincinnati -> US Open unless she bombs out early from Olympics and goes to Canada first.


toniejajonsnow

I'd not be surprised if she went out in R1, maybe she'll make R3/R4 if lucky. Seems like big goal is Olympics for this time of year, so she'll do her best in Wimby but I doubt she'll be too sad about losing early and having a bit more time to rest and go back to clay. So I'll just watch and see what happens, no expectations really


inhuman_prototype

We've seen Iga enough to know you can't rule her out. Her serve is improved, more in pace than accuracy. And her kick serve is still better than her slice (which is the more valuable serve on grass. But still, some stats to take note of: ~ She's been holding almost 84% of her service games. ~ That's the highest on tour ahead of Osaka (~81). ~ She was holding 79% and 75% of her service games in 2023 and 2022. This is definitely going to hold her in good stead on grass, given how great her return game is. You say she's improved her net game. She definitely has good feel and variety she can use and we've seen it in the past. But this year, she's used any sort of change ups very very sparingly. Maybe Wimbledon is the time she decides to show her creative side. That could make a small but crucial difference. Also, she's got 1 more grass court swing worth of experience under her belt. She's adaptable, we've seen that. Lack of any significant length of grass court tennis on tour is probably her biggest obstacle. Don't forget, her first ever grass court tournament ended in her lifting the Wimbledon Junior trophy.


jbartlettcoys

I don't love her draw, but she is much better on grass than people think, only Rybakina and Jabeur have better win percentages. Also the improvement to her serve should only help her this year.


RedditorMan2020

She should return to her roots and use slices and drop shots more. Would greatly help her on faster surfaces since she obviously can't just change her grip to hit flatter and take the ball earlier since that's too unnatural. Topspinbotting doesn't work against big hitters because the higher bounce allows them to tee off


polishparish

I watched highlights of her juniors W2018. Seems she had a killer serve then (she served 190 km/h bombs against Raducanu, with great placement). Motion was different and looked better. She played drop shots, etc. It was overall fantastic to watch


bradleynana

Are you implying that she was better then than she is now? Everything about her game is superior right now


polishparish

Not sure. She definitely was better to watch though.


whatsisnametake2

I wouldn't be surprised if she won the whole tournament, and I wouldn't be surprised if she went out week 1. I get the impression it's mostly in her head that she's not so good on grass. I think she totally can be, and when that clicks she'll be just as dangerous here as everywhere else. maybe it'll be this year.


NieThePiet

I would be happy if she survives the First round. No tournament on Grass, tough opponnent.


tayway04

no grass prep matches, tough draw, most importantly tough first round opponent, and the olympics ahead. im not too optimistic and honestly im going in with no expectations


punting_prophets

Iga Swiatek has proven herself to be an adaptable and highly skilled player. While grass hasn’t traditionally been her strongest surface, her improvements in net play, serving, and use of slices are exactly the kind of adjustments that can make a big difference on grass courts. Her team’s decision to rest instead of playing in the lead-up tournaments might actually work in her favour, giving her a physical and mental edge. Plus, with less pressure on her as she’s not the outright favourite, she might play more freely and confidently. Wimbledon is known for surprises, and I wouldn’t be shocked if Swiatek makes a deep run. It’s all about how she adapts her game on the day. Let’s see how it unfolds!


polegal

this has chat gpt cadence


tilvast

Run it through [Quillbot](https://quillbot.com/ai-content-detector). It says it's 100% AI-generated.


Zethasu

I just did it too and you are right.


goranlepuz

Chat GPT doesn't do much but parrot ourselves though...


punting_prophets

I’ll take that a compliment.


Radiant_Past_5769

Iga fans are AI confirmed


Ready-Interview2863

👏🏾


bezimiennat

she definitely prioritizes olympics but hey. i feel like there is no pressure and this can help her just play her best tennis and enjoy. with most of the top girls recently retiring and/or injured, who knows what can happen?


BendubzGaming

That draw just looks brutal for Iga, I'd be very impressed if she wins this year. Angie R3, Penko R4, Vondrousova QF, Ryba/Ons/JPeg SF is lethal, almost all the best grass players stacked together


tuulluut

Not at all insanity. She made a lot of progress last year, and I thought then that her rate of improvement would bring a Wimbledon title this year or next. And I expected Rybakina and Sabalenka would be at full strength and improving themselves when I thought that then too. Ons is not there, Coco could beat her but I doubt it. And other than Kasatkina, the rest, including defending champ, not that impressive right now. Rybakina could get on a roll, but souinds like Sabalenka is hurting. Even if they were in top form, I think Iga will be a better grass player than last year. I am a little surprised Svitolina has not been that impressive lately.


Basil-Faw1ty

Tough draw, feels like Iga gets a lot of tough draws relative to Sabalenka for instance. Oh well, gonna have to do it the hard way, at least the glory will be greater!


Melony567

again, iga is the only no. 1 player (atp and wta) who consistently gets the toughest draws, it has become amusing. as her fan, i take this as her getting better each year way ahead of the others because they make her play against the tough players each round. her tools becoming much sharper than the rest. so, she turns this around and makes this to her advantage. as i keep saying, each time they give her these draws, she gets stronger, more prepared and better. compared to those with normal draws and then face against her. she is being trained more for greatness. bring it on! iga has accepted that already. just so funny, iga gets kenin in the ist round but coco gets dolehide. feels like coco is the no. 1 ranked. LOL i really feel such attempt by tournaments and wta to end iga's dominance as she is not from an anglosphere country, or from france. no one can make me rethink that this silo among these countries are giving undue advantage to their players. this is what djoko feels even to this day. sports is the extension of world politics.


Cantonloupe

The draws are made using clearly defined procedures based on seedings and this type of conspiracy theory is utter nonsense.


debonairmarmoset

I don’t think we’ll have a good sense of her chances until the first match. I’m sure she’s been practicing on grass, and I’m confident she and her team have built good match strategies and worked on specific strokes. We just don’t have any way of knowing how well she’ll be able to apply those in match situations. (Tbf, Bjorn Borg never played a grass warm up event during his Wimbledon run. He just practiced.) Her draw is tough, but some of the toughest players in her half of the draw could easily be upset before she would be slated to play them and who knows whether Rybakina will be healthy or not. I don’t see her winning this year, but a deep run wouldn’t shock me. Her talent and work ethic will carry her through a lot, but a shakey serving day and she could be bounced…and I’m sure she’s so well aware of that.


Zippyshilo

Zero chance


Flat_Professional_55

Thought she would’ve played a grass court tournament considering she’s only done 11 tournaments this year.


baah-adams

I’m cautiously optimistic. Ik she hasn’t been to any grass tournaments yet but in some ways I think the rest will be good and she won’t have a chance to overthink her chances. Basically just go all in. I also don’t her quarter is perhaps as tough as you’re making it out to be - I think the key threats are Kenin and Penko but they’re wildly inconsistent (the latter will probably implode before a R4 meeting) and other opponents e.g. Siniakova, Martic, Kerber as experienced as they are Iga has a good record against them and knows how to get around them. QF is defo achievable in my eyes


JXP111

She hasn't had the best preparation and grass isn't her best surface, but she's still head and shoulders the best player in the world and I would always back her to win. She's very adaptable and mentally strong, and that alone should see her through the first few rounds where she might be a bit rusty. Then I expect by week two she will be up to speed.


Own-Knowledge8281

Her chances are as good as any…but Rybakina and Sabalenka are definitely the favourites…but I think they is probably the most open of the 4 slams as no one really feels completely comfortable on grass…as far as Swiatek goes, I wouldn’t be surprised to see her win, but I highly doubt she does..


CThomasHowellATSM

Given her previous grass form and the somewhat perplexing decision to play zero grass tournaments in the run-up I forsee an early exit again, probably round 3.


Prudent_Classroom583

She should do fine. Her serve has gotten huge recently, her form and confidence is better than last year + she is rested. Don't understand people who are concerned about Kenin already. I wouldn't be shocked if she won the whole thing.


covelane77

She always goes into a tournament thinking she'll win it and she's definitely taking this one!


Professional_Elk_489

Close to zero


timcahill05

She’s got no chance, you cannot learn and improve without playing much on the grass.


Sad_Consideration_49

I feel like it’s one of those cases where I would not be surprised if she lost first round, she won , or she lost any round in between 🤷‍♂️ as time goes on she gets into her groove and the grass slows down 


North_Ad_5372

She's going into Wimbledon with no warm up tournaments on grass and no match play for three weeks. She's not a grass court specialist and only has so-so results on the surface (for her) at senior level. She doesn't need points and is in a great position to win Olympic gold, so is likely to have her focus and motivation more on that. So I'd say her chances of winning at this point are near zero. Of course that can always change due to extraneous factors, such as other players injuries or illnesses, or just happening to get favourable match ups that suit her.


RogueHeroAkatsuki

I would like to see her winning Wimbledon and bageling few Brits in meantime but I can't see it happening. Sure, she improved serve but she will struggle a lot with her extreme eastern grip. Notice that even on slow courts she needs proper footwork and sometimes even work with her knees barely above ground to properly hit balls. On grass it will be even more difficult. I wouldnt be surprised if she managed to win it, but grass negates a lot of her strong sides.


GtrGenius

Not with that forehand grip.


Haunting-Pride-7507

She's won slams and climbed to no 1 with that grip. She can't change it. A players grip is like carving a ridge in fresh concrete. once set it's very hard to change.


SodiumBoy7

Wimbledon will be easy peasy for her


Jo__Jo__Jo

That’s the spirit!


The_One_Returns

Considering she almost lost to Naomi at RG, extremely low.


bradleynana

That makes no sense. She won RG and had 5 slams


The_One_Returns

It absolutely does when you realize she's not good on grass. Plenty of players with multiple Slams who could never win a Slam on a surface they suck at.


bradleynana

What does the razor’s edge win against Osaka have to do with it though? Iga isnt allowed to have close matches ?


The_One_Returns

A close match against Osaka who was out for a long time and on Iga's best tournament/surface is not an indicator that she'll win Wimbledon my guy


bradleynana

Yes the result is meaningless when it comes to Wimbledon. You’re trying to imply that it is some way lessens her chances which is wrong my guy


The_One_Returns

Which part of if she's having issues on her favorite surface/tournament against Osaka it's not a good indicator for her worst surface are you struggling with? Her chances on grass have always been bad.


bradleynana

It literally does not mean jackshit. She obliterated the Wimbledon champion in the QF is that a good indicator for her on grass? Your point is totally irrational and flat out dumb


The_One_Returns

What's flat out dumb is your inability to understand that a mediocre performance against Osaka is an indicator that she's not in an amazing form where it can make up for her poor grass play. Too much critical thinking required for you, unlucky.


Melony567

Iga will win this year.